리더-중형주 연쇄 트래커
공급망을 통한 차질 확산 과정을 모델링합니다. 리더 종목이 움직이면 시그널이 공급업체, 고객사, 중형주로 며칠에 걸쳐 전파됩니다.
Semiconductors
NVIDIA Cascade
리더: NVDA
NVIDIA earnings set the tone for the entire semiconductor supply chain. A beat or miss cascades first to memory suppliers (SK Hynix, Micron), then to TSMC and equipment names, and finally to the hyperscaler customers that drive GPU demand.
ASML Cascade
리더: ASML
ASML's quarterly order bookings are a leading indicator for semiconductor capex cycles. Strong EUV orders signal fab expansion across TSMC, Samsung, and memory makers, cascading to peer equipment companies and then to chip designers who benefit from capacity growth.
AI / Cloud
Microsoft Cascade
리더: MSFT
Hyperscaler capex guidance cascades through the AI supply chain. When Microsoft raises Azure AI spending, it validates GPU demand (NVIDIA), foundry utilization (TSMC), and signals peer hyperscalers will follow suit.
Microsoft Cascade
리더: MSFT
Microsoft Azure AI capacity announcements trigger a multi-layer infrastructure cascade. Azure capex guidance directly validates GPU demand (NVDA), which flows to semiconductor equipment makers (AMAT, LRCX) needed to produce AI chips, and finally reaches memory suppliers (MU, SK Hynix) who provide HBM for AI accelerators.
EV / Battery
Tesla Cascade
리더: TSLA
Tesla's quarterly delivery numbers cascade through the entire EV battery supply chain. Strong deliveries signal healthy end-demand, boosting battery makers, then lithium miners. Weak deliveries trigger fears of EV slowdown across the chain.
First Solar Cascade
리더: FSLR
First Solar's share price reacts sharply to IRA policy developments and utility-scale solar contract wins. As the only large-scale domestic thin-film manufacturer, FSLR leads a cascade through residential solar (ENPH, SEDG, RUN) and then into battery storage and lithium supply (ALB, SQM).