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EV / 배터리 연쇄 영향 시각화

공유:

리더 종목이 움직이면 시그널이 공급업체, 고객사, 중형주로 며칠에 걸쳐 전파됩니다.

Tesla (TSLA) 실적 연쇄

6단계 · 3건의 과거 이벤트

연쇄 흐름

1
TSLATesla
리더
0 (trigger)

Tesla's delivery report is the single most-watched EV demand indicator, setting sentiment for the entire sector.

2
300750.SZCATL
1차 추종자
0-1 trading days

CATL is Tesla's primary LFP battery supplier; Tesla volume directly affects CATL's order book.

3
6752.TPanasonic
1차 추종자
0-1 trading days

Panasonic derives ~70% of its battery revenue from Tesla; delivery numbers are existential for Panasonic Energy.

4
373220.KSLG Energy Solution
중간 체인
1-2 trading days

LG Energy supplies cylindrical cells to Tesla and reads through to broader EV demand across GM, Hyundai, and others.

5
1211.HKBYD
중간 체인
1-3 trading days

BYD's own delivery data typically follows within days; Tesla trends signal whether the global EV market is accelerating or decelerating.

6
ALBAlbemarle
후발 주자
3-7 trading days

Lithium miners react with a lag as the market reassesses battery-cell production rates and upstream material demand.

과거 사례

2024-04-02

트리거

Tesla Q1 2024 deliveries of 387K missed consensus of 449K — first YoY decline in 4 years

리더 움직임:

TSLA -4.9% on delivery miss

연쇄 결과

CATL -3%, Panasonic -4%, LG Energy -5% over 3 days. Albemarle -8% in the week as lithium demand fears intensified.

2024-10-02

트리거

Tesla Q3 2024 deliveries of 463K beat 461K consensus, signaling recovery

리더 움직임:

TSLA +3.2%

연쇄 결과

Battery makers rallied 2-4% over 2 days. Albemarle +5% as lithium sentiment stabilized. BYD reported record 443K NEV deliveries days later, amplifying the upswing.

2025-07-02

트리거

Tesla Q2 2025 deliveries of 520K smashed 480K consensus, new quarterly record driven by refreshed Model Y

리더 움직임:

TSLA +8.5%

연쇄 결과

CATL +6%, Panasonic +7%, LG Energy +5% in 3 sessions. Albemarle +10% over the week as lithium restocking expectations rose.

현재 상태

활성 연쇄가 감지되지 않았습니다. 다음 잠재적 트리거는 TSLA 실적 발표입니다.

모니터링 중

First Solar (FSLR) 실적 연쇄

6단계 · 2건의 과거 이벤트

연쇄 흐름

1
FSLRFirst Solar
리더
0 (trigger)

First Solar is the primary IRA beneficiary in solar manufacturing — 45X production tax credits apply directly to its US-based thin-film modules, making FSLR the clearest policy read-through in clean energy.

2
ENPHEnphase Energy
1차 추종자
0-1 trading days

Enphase microinverters attach to rooftop solar installations; IRA residential clean energy credits drive demand for both modules and Enphase's power electronics.

3
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies
1차 추종자
0-1 trading days

SolarEdge's DC-optimized inverter systems serve the same residential and commercial solar installers; policy tailwinds read through identically to ENPH.

4
RUNSunrun
중간 체인
1-3 trading days

Sunrun is the largest US residential solar installer; strong IRA incentives reduce customer acquisition costs and boost lease economics.

5
ALBAlbemarle
후발 주자
3-7 trading days

Accelerating solar deployment drives battery storage co-installations, increasing lithium demand expectations; Albemarle reprices with a week-plus lag.

6
SQMSociedad Quimica y Minera
후발 주자
3-7 trading days

SQM is the world's second-largest lithium producer; energy storage demand signals reach Chilean miners after the full solar policy cascade has played out.

과거 사례

2022-08-16

트리거

Inflation Reduction Act signed into law — $369B in climate/energy spending including 30% ITC, 45X manufacturing credits

리더 움직임:

FSLR +39.6% in the week of passage

연쇄 결과

ENPH +26%, SEDG +22%, RUN +18% in the same week. ALB +12%, SQM +10% over two weeks as battery storage buildout assumptions were revised sharply higher.

2024-01-12

트리거

Treasury Dept issued final guidance on 45X domestic content adders — FSLR modules confirmed to qualify for maximum bonus credits

리더 움직임:

FSLR +8.4% on guidance day

연쇄 결과

ENPH +5%, SEDG +4% as broader US solar demand outlook improved. RUN +6% on installer margin expectations. ALB +3% over the following week.

현재 상태

활성 연쇄가 감지되지 않았습니다. 다음 잠재적 트리거는 FSLR 실적 발표입니다.

모니터링 중