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방위 연쇄 영향 시각화

공유:

리더 종목이 움직이면 시그널이 공급업체, 고객사, 중형주로 며칠에 걸쳐 전파됩니다.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) 실적 연쇄

5단계 · 3건의 과거 이벤트

연쇄 흐름

1
LMTLockheed Martin
리더
0 (trigger)

Lockheed's backlog and margin guidance signal overall DoD budget health and program execution across F-35, missiles, and space.

2
RTXRTX Corporation
1차 추종자
0-1 trading days

RTX's Raytheon segment competes and partners with LMT on missile defense; LMT strength implies robust munitions spending.

3
NOCNorthrop Grumman
1차 추종자
1-2 trading days

Northrop is a critical F-35 subcontractor and benefits from the same defense-budget tailwinds driving Lockheed's backlog.

4
BA.LBAE Systems
중간 체인
1-3 trading days

BAE reacts to U.S. budget signals with a lag, as its UK/international exposure provides partial insulation.

5
LHXL3Harris
후발 주자
2-5 trading days

L3Harris is a sub-tier supplier whose orders flow through prime-contractor procurement cycles with a multi-quarter lag.

과거 사례

2024-01-23

트리거

Lockheed Martin Q4 2023: backlog hit record $160.6B, 2024 guidance above consensus on strong F-35 and missile orders

리더 움직임:

LMT +4.8%

연쇄 결과

RTX +3%, NOC +2.5% over 2 days. BAE Systems +2% in London. L3Harris +1.5% within the week as defense sentiment improved.

2024-03-11

트리거

White House FY2025 defense budget request of $895B (+1% real growth), emphasis on Pacific deterrence and munitions

리더 움직임:

LMT +2.1% on budget day

연쇄 결과

RTX +3.5% (munitions emphasis), NOC +2% (B-21 funding confirmed), BAE +1.5% (UK spending aligned with NATO 2% pledge).

2025-06-15

트리거

Lockheed awarded $12B F-35 Lot 19 contract — largest single F-35 production award

리더 움직임:

LMT +3.4%

연쇄 결과

RTX +4% (Pratt & Whitney engine work), NOC +3% (fuselage subcontract), BAE +2.5% (UK workshare). L3Harris +2% over the week.

현재 상태

활성 연쇄가 감지되지 않았습니다. 다음 잠재적 트리거는 LMT 실적 발표입니다.

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