NVIDIA (NVDA) 財報連鎖
8 個階段 · 3 個歷史事件
連鎖傳導流
NVIDIA's data-center guidance is the single most important demand signal for AI chips, HBM memory, and advanced packaging.
SK Hynix is NVIDIA's primary HBM supplier; NVIDIA's demand outlook directly dictates SK Hynix HBM revenue expectations.
Micron's HBM3e ramp is gated by NVIDIA orders; strong NVIDIA guidance validates Micron's HBM revenue trajectory.
TSMC fabricates all NVIDIA GPUs; higher NVIDIA volume means higher utilization of 3nm/5nm and CoWoS packaging capacity.
Sustained GPU demand growth implies TSMC needs more EUV capacity, supporting ASML's order backlog.
Equipment spend follows 1-2 quarters behind foundry utilization; NVIDIA strength signals future AMAT orders.
Memory capex recovery (driven by HBM demand) flows to Lam's etch-heavy memory equipment business with a lag.
Process-control spending is the last equipment budget to move, but rising complexity at 3nm lifts KLA's content per wafer.
歷史案例
觸發條件
NVIDIA FY24 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue +409% YoY, guided Q1 to $24B vs $22B consensus
龍頭異動:
NVDA +16.4% on earnings day連鎖結果
SK Hynix +8% in 2 days, TSMC +5% in 3 days, ASML +4% over the week. SOX index +6% in 5 sessions.
觸發條件
NVIDIA FY25 Q1 earnings: revenue $26B (+262% YoY), announced 10:1 stock split
龍頭異動:
NVDA +9.3% after hours連鎖結果
Micron +6% next day on HBM optimism. TSMC +3%. Equipment names (AMAT, LRCX) each +4% within the week.
觸發條件
NVIDIA FY25 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue $35.6B, Blackwell ramp confirmed ahead of schedule
龍頭異動:
NVDA +4.2% (modest given elevated expectations)連鎖結果
SK Hynix +5%, Micron +3% on HBM3e validation. Equipment names lagged as capex timing questions persisted.
目前狀態
未偵測到活躍的連鎖反應。下一個潛在觸發因素是 NVDA 財報發布。請留意業績展望變化或預告訊號。
ASML (ASML) 財報連鎖
6 個階段 · 2 個歷史事件
連鎖傳導流
ASML's EUV order book is the earliest signal of foundry and memory fab investment plans 12-18 months forward.
ASML orders confirm capex cycle strength, directly implying demand for AMAT's complementary deposition and etch tools.
Lam's etch business is tightly correlated with fab starts that ASML orders foreshadow.
Rising wafer starts mean more inspection and metrology demand; KLA benefits from increased complexity at advanced nodes.
TSMC is the largest EUV buyer; strong orders confirm TSMC's expansion plans are on track.
Samsung's foundry and memory capex plans are validated by overall industry equipment spending trends.
歷史案例
觸發條件
ASML Q4 2023 orders of EUR 9.2B crushed EUR 3.6B consensus — largest order quarter ever
龍頭異動:
ASML +9.7% on earnings day連鎖結果
AMAT +5%, LRCX +6%, KLAC +4% within 2 days. TSMC +3% as capex cycle confirmation spread through the sector.
觸發條件
ASML Q3 2024 bookings disappointed at EUR 2.6B, well below expectations; China restrictions cited
龍頭異動:
ASML -15.6% (leaked a day early)連鎖結果
AMAT -5%, LRCX -6%, KLAC -4% same day. TSMC initially dipped -2% but recovered after its own strong earnings.
目前狀態
未偵測到活躍的連鎖反應。下一個潛在觸發因素是 ASML 財報發布。請留意業績展望變化或預告訊號。