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NVIDIA (NVDA) 財報連鎖

8 個階段 · 3 個歷史事件

連鎖傳導流

1
NVDANVIDIA
龍頭
0 (trigger)

NVIDIA's data-center guidance is the single most important demand signal for AI chips, HBM memory, and advanced packaging.

2
000660.KSSK Hynix
首批跟隨者
0-1 trading days

SK Hynix is NVIDIA's primary HBM supplier; NVIDIA's demand outlook directly dictates SK Hynix HBM revenue expectations.

3
MUMicron
首批跟隨者
0-1 trading days

Micron's HBM3e ramp is gated by NVIDIA orders; strong NVIDIA guidance validates Micron's HBM revenue trajectory.

4
TSMTSMC
中間鏈
1-2 trading days

TSMC fabricates all NVIDIA GPUs; higher NVIDIA volume means higher utilization of 3nm/5nm and CoWoS packaging capacity.

5
ASMLASML
中間鏈
2-3 trading days

Sustained GPU demand growth implies TSMC needs more EUV capacity, supporting ASML's order backlog.

6
AMATApplied Materials
滯後者
2-5 trading days

Equipment spend follows 1-2 quarters behind foundry utilization; NVIDIA strength signals future AMAT orders.

7
LRCXLam Research
滯後者
2-5 trading days

Memory capex recovery (driven by HBM demand) flows to Lam's etch-heavy memory equipment business with a lag.

8
KLACKLA Corp
滯後者
3-5 trading days

Process-control spending is the last equipment budget to move, but rising complexity at 3nm lifts KLA's content per wafer.

歷史案例

2024-02-21

觸發條件

NVIDIA FY24 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue +409% YoY, guided Q1 to $24B vs $22B consensus

龍頭異動:

NVDA +16.4% on earnings day

連鎖結果

SK Hynix +8% in 2 days, TSMC +5% in 3 days, ASML +4% over the week. SOX index +6% in 5 sessions.

2024-05-22

觸發條件

NVIDIA FY25 Q1 earnings: revenue $26B (+262% YoY), announced 10:1 stock split

龍頭異動:

NVDA +9.3% after hours

連鎖結果

Micron +6% next day on HBM optimism. TSMC +3%. Equipment names (AMAT, LRCX) each +4% within the week.

2025-02-26

觸發條件

NVIDIA FY25 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue $35.6B, Blackwell ramp confirmed ahead of schedule

龍頭異動:

NVDA +4.2% (modest given elevated expectations)

連鎖結果

SK Hynix +5%, Micron +3% on HBM3e validation. Equipment names lagged as capex timing questions persisted.

目前狀態

未偵測到活躍的連鎖反應。下一個潛在觸發因素是 NVDA 財報發布。請留意業績展望變化或預告訊號。

監控中

ASML (ASML) 財報連鎖

6 個階段 · 2 個歷史事件

連鎖傳導流

1
ASMLASML
龍頭
0 (trigger)

ASML's EUV order book is the earliest signal of foundry and memory fab investment plans 12-18 months forward.

2
AMATApplied Materials
首批跟隨者
0-1 trading days

ASML orders confirm capex cycle strength, directly implying demand for AMAT's complementary deposition and etch tools.

3
LRCXLam Research
首批跟隨者
0-1 trading days

Lam's etch business is tightly correlated with fab starts that ASML orders foreshadow.

4
KLACKLA Corp
中間鏈
1-2 trading days

Rising wafer starts mean more inspection and metrology demand; KLA benefits from increased complexity at advanced nodes.

5
TSMTSMC
中間鏈
1-3 trading days

TSMC is the largest EUV buyer; strong orders confirm TSMC's expansion plans are on track.

6
005930.KSSamsung Electronics
滯後者
2-4 trading days

Samsung's foundry and memory capex plans are validated by overall industry equipment spending trends.

歷史案例

2024-01-24

觸發條件

ASML Q4 2023 orders of EUR 9.2B crushed EUR 3.6B consensus — largest order quarter ever

龍頭異動:

ASML +9.7% on earnings day

連鎖結果

AMAT +5%, LRCX +6%, KLAC +4% within 2 days. TSMC +3% as capex cycle confirmation spread through the sector.

2024-10-15

觸發條件

ASML Q3 2024 bookings disappointed at EUR 2.6B, well below expectations; China restrictions cited

龍頭異動:

ASML -15.6% (leaked a day early)

連鎖結果

AMAT -5%, LRCX -6%, KLAC -4% same day. TSMC initially dipped -2% but recovered after its own strong earnings.

目前狀態

未偵測到活躍的連鎖反應。下一個潛在觸發因素是 ASML 財報發布。請留意業績展望變化或預告訊號。

監控中