NVIDIA (NVDA) 财报连锁
8 个阶段 · 3 个历史事件
连锁传导流
NVIDIA's data-center guidance is the single most important demand signal for AI chips, HBM memory, and advanced packaging.
SK Hynix is NVIDIA's primary HBM supplier; NVIDIA's demand outlook directly dictates SK Hynix HBM revenue expectations.
Micron's HBM3e ramp is gated by NVIDIA orders; strong NVIDIA guidance validates Micron's HBM revenue trajectory.
TSMC fabricates all NVIDIA GPUs; higher NVIDIA volume means higher utilization of 3nm/5nm and CoWoS packaging capacity.
Sustained GPU demand growth implies TSMC needs more EUV capacity, supporting ASML's order backlog.
Equipment spend follows 1-2 quarters behind foundry utilization; NVIDIA strength signals future AMAT orders.
Memory capex recovery (driven by HBM demand) flows to Lam's etch-heavy memory equipment business with a lag.
Process-control spending is the last equipment budget to move, but rising complexity at 3nm lifts KLA's content per wafer.
历史案例
触发条件
NVIDIA FY24 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue +409% YoY, guided Q1 to $24B vs $22B consensus
龙头异动:
NVDA +16.4% on earnings day连锁结果
SK Hynix +8% in 2 days, TSMC +5% in 3 days, ASML +4% over the week. SOX index +6% in 5 sessions.
触发条件
NVIDIA FY25 Q1 earnings: revenue $26B (+262% YoY), announced 10:1 stock split
龙头异动:
NVDA +9.3% after hours连锁结果
Micron +6% next day on HBM optimism. TSMC +3%. Equipment names (AMAT, LRCX) each +4% within the week.
触发条件
NVIDIA FY25 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue $35.6B, Blackwell ramp confirmed ahead of schedule
龙头异动:
NVDA +4.2% (modest given elevated expectations)连锁结果
SK Hynix +5%, Micron +3% on HBM3e validation. Equipment names lagged as capex timing questions persisted.
当前状态
未检测到活跃的连锁反应。下一个潜在触发因素是 NVDA 财报发布。请关注业绩指引变化或预告信号。
ASML (ASML) 财报连锁
6 个阶段 · 2 个历史事件
连锁传导流
ASML's EUV order book is the earliest signal of foundry and memory fab investment plans 12-18 months forward.
ASML orders confirm capex cycle strength, directly implying demand for AMAT's complementary deposition and etch tools.
Lam's etch business is tightly correlated with fab starts that ASML orders foreshadow.
Rising wafer starts mean more inspection and metrology demand; KLA benefits from increased complexity at advanced nodes.
TSMC is the largest EUV buyer; strong orders confirm TSMC's expansion plans are on track.
Samsung's foundry and memory capex plans are validated by overall industry equipment spending trends.
历史案例
触发条件
ASML Q4 2023 orders of EUR 9.2B crushed EUR 3.6B consensus — largest order quarter ever
龙头异动:
ASML +9.7% on earnings day连锁结果
AMAT +5%, LRCX +6%, KLAC +4% within 2 days. TSMC +3% as capex cycle confirmation spread through the sector.
触发条件
ASML Q3 2024 bookings disappointed at EUR 2.6B, well below expectations; China restrictions cited
龙头异动:
ASML -15.6% (leaked a day early)连锁结果
AMAT -5%, LRCX -6%, KLAC -4% same day. TSMC initially dipped -2% but recovered after its own strong earnings.
当前状态
未检测到活跃的连锁反应。下一个潜在触发因素是 ASML 财报发布。请关注业绩指引变化或预告信号。