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国防 连锁影响可视化

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当龙头股发生异动时,信号会在数日内通过供应商、客户和中盘股逐级传导。

Lockheed Martin (LMT) 财报连锁

5 个阶段 · 3 个历史事件

连锁传导流

1
LMTLockheed Martin
龙头
0 (trigger)

Lockheed's backlog and margin guidance signal overall DoD budget health and program execution across F-35, missiles, and space.

2
RTXRTX Corporation
首批跟随者
0-1 trading days

RTX's Raytheon segment competes and partners with LMT on missile defense; LMT strength implies robust munitions spending.

3
NOCNorthrop Grumman
首批跟随者
1-2 trading days

Northrop is a critical F-35 subcontractor and benefits from the same defense-budget tailwinds driving Lockheed's backlog.

4
BA.LBAE Systems
中间链
1-3 trading days

BAE reacts to U.S. budget signals with a lag, as its UK/international exposure provides partial insulation.

5
LHXL3Harris
滞后者
2-5 trading days

L3Harris is a sub-tier supplier whose orders flow through prime-contractor procurement cycles with a multi-quarter lag.

历史案例

2024-01-23

触发条件

Lockheed Martin Q4 2023: backlog hit record $160.6B, 2024 guidance above consensus on strong F-35 and missile orders

龙头异动:

LMT +4.8%

连锁结果

RTX +3%, NOC +2.5% over 2 days. BAE Systems +2% in London. L3Harris +1.5% within the week as defense sentiment improved.

2024-03-11

触发条件

White House FY2025 defense budget request of $895B (+1% real growth), emphasis on Pacific deterrence and munitions

龙头异动:

LMT +2.1% on budget day

连锁结果

RTX +3.5% (munitions emphasis), NOC +2% (B-21 funding confirmed), BAE +1.5% (UK spending aligned with NATO 2% pledge).

2025-06-15

触发条件

Lockheed awarded $12B F-35 Lot 19 contract — largest single F-35 production award

龙头异动:

LMT +3.4%

连锁结果

RTX +4% (Pratt & Whitney engine work), NOC +3% (fuselage subcontract), BAE +2.5% (UK workshare). L3Harris +2% over the week.

当前状态

未检测到活跃的连锁反应。下一个潜在触发因素是 LMT 财报发布。请关注业绩指引变化或预告信号。

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