Когда акция-лидер движется, сигнал распространяется через поставщиков, клиентов и средние акции за несколько дней.
Tesla (TSLA) Каскад отчётности
6 шагов · 3 историч. событий
Поток каскада
Tesla's delivery report is the single most-watched EV demand indicator, setting sentiment for the entire sector.
CATL is Tesla's primary LFP battery supplier; Tesla volume directly affects CATL's order book.
Panasonic derives ~70% of its battery revenue from Tesla; delivery numbers are existential for Panasonic Energy.
LG Energy supplies cylindrical cells to Tesla and reads through to broader EV demand across GM, Hyundai, and others.
BYD's own delivery data typically follows within days; Tesla trends signal whether the global EV market is accelerating or decelerating.
Lithium miners react with a lag as the market reassesses battery-cell production rates and upstream material demand.
Исторические случаи
Триггер
Tesla Q1 2024 deliveries of 387K missed consensus of 449K — first YoY decline in 4 years
Движение лидера:
TSLA -4.9% on delivery missРезультат каскада
CATL -3%, Panasonic -4%, LG Energy -5% over 3 days. Albemarle -8% in the week as lithium demand fears intensified.
Триггер
Tesla Q3 2024 deliveries of 463K beat 461K consensus, signaling recovery
Движение лидера:
TSLA +3.2%Результат каскада
Battery makers rallied 2-4% over 2 days. Albemarle +5% as lithium sentiment stabilized. BYD reported record 443K NEV deliveries days later, amplifying the upswing.
Триггер
Tesla Q2 2025 deliveries of 520K smashed 480K consensus, new quarterly record driven by refreshed Model Y
Движение лидера:
TSLA +8.5%Результат каскада
CATL +6%, Panasonic +7%, LG Energy +5% in 3 sessions. Albemarle +10% over the week as lithium restocking expectations rose.
Текущий статус
Активный каскад не обнаружен. Следующий триггер — отчётность TSLA.
First Solar (FSLR) Каскад отчётности
6 шагов · 2 историч. событий
Поток каскада
First Solar is the primary IRA beneficiary in solar manufacturing — 45X production tax credits apply directly to its US-based thin-film modules, making FSLR the clearest policy read-through in clean energy.
Enphase microinverters attach to rooftop solar installations; IRA residential clean energy credits drive demand for both modules and Enphase's power electronics.
SolarEdge's DC-optimized inverter systems serve the same residential and commercial solar installers; policy tailwinds read through identically to ENPH.
Sunrun is the largest US residential solar installer; strong IRA incentives reduce customer acquisition costs and boost lease economics.
Accelerating solar deployment drives battery storage co-installations, increasing lithium demand expectations; Albemarle reprices with a week-plus lag.
SQM is the world's second-largest lithium producer; energy storage demand signals reach Chilean miners after the full solar policy cascade has played out.
Исторические случаи
Триггер
Inflation Reduction Act signed into law — $369B in climate/energy spending including 30% ITC, 45X manufacturing credits
Движение лидера:
FSLR +39.6% in the week of passageРезультат каскада
ENPH +26%, SEDG +22%, RUN +18% in the same week. ALB +12%, SQM +10% over two weeks as battery storage buildout assumptions were revised sharply higher.
Триггер
Treasury Dept issued final guidance on 45X domestic content adders — FSLR modules confirmed to qualify for maximum bonus credits
Движение лидера:
FSLR +8.4% on guidance dayРезультат каскада
ENPH +5%, SEDG +4% as broader US solar demand outlook improved. RUN +6% on installer margin expectations. ALB +3% over the following week.
Текущий статус
Активный каскад не обнаружен. Следующий триггер — отчётность FSLR.