Когда акция-лидер движется, сигнал распространяется через поставщиков, клиентов и средние акции за несколько дней.
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Каскад отчётности
5 шагов · 3 историч. событий
Поток каскада
Lockheed's backlog and margin guidance signal overall DoD budget health and program execution across F-35, missiles, and space.
RTX's Raytheon segment competes and partners with LMT on missile defense; LMT strength implies robust munitions spending.
Northrop is a critical F-35 subcontractor and benefits from the same defense-budget tailwinds driving Lockheed's backlog.
BAE reacts to U.S. budget signals with a lag, as its UK/international exposure provides partial insulation.
L3Harris is a sub-tier supplier whose orders flow through prime-contractor procurement cycles with a multi-quarter lag.
Исторические случаи
Триггер
Lockheed Martin Q4 2023: backlog hit record $160.6B, 2024 guidance above consensus on strong F-35 and missile orders
Движение лидера:
LMT +4.8%Результат каскада
RTX +3%, NOC +2.5% over 2 days. BAE Systems +2% in London. L3Harris +1.5% within the week as defense sentiment improved.
Триггер
White House FY2025 defense budget request of $895B (+1% real growth), emphasis on Pacific deterrence and munitions
Движение лидера:
LMT +2.1% on budget dayРезультат каскада
RTX +3.5% (munitions emphasis), NOC +2% (B-21 funding confirmed), BAE +1.5% (UK spending aligned with NATO 2% pledge).
Триггер
Lockheed awarded $12B F-35 Lot 19 contract — largest single F-35 production award
Движение лидера:
LMT +3.4%Результат каскада
RTX +4% (Pratt & Whitney engine work), NOC +3% (fuselage subcontract), BAE +2.5% (UK workshare). L3Harris +2% over the week.
Текущий статус
Активный каскад не обнаружен. Следующий триггер — отчётность LMT.