Lockheed Martin (LMT) 決算カスケード
5ステップ · 3件の過去イベント
カスケードフロー
Lockheed's backlog and margin guidance signal overall DoD budget health and program execution across F-35, missiles, and space.
RTX's Raytheon segment competes and partners with LMT on missile defense; LMT strength implies robust munitions spending.
Northrop is a critical F-35 subcontractor and benefits from the same defense-budget tailwinds driving Lockheed's backlog.
BAE reacts to U.S. budget signals with a lag, as its UK/international exposure provides partial insulation.
L3Harris is a sub-tier supplier whose orders flow through prime-contractor procurement cycles with a multi-quarter lag.
過去の事例
トリガー
Lockheed Martin Q4 2023: backlog hit record $160.6B, 2024 guidance above consensus on strong F-35 and missile orders
リーダーの動き:
LMT +4.8%カスケード結果
RTX +3%, NOC +2.5% over 2 days. BAE Systems +2% in London. L3Harris +1.5% within the week as defense sentiment improved.
トリガー
White House FY2025 defense budget request of $895B (+1% real growth), emphasis on Pacific deterrence and munitions
リーダーの動き:
LMT +2.1% on budget dayカスケード結果
RTX +3.5% (munitions emphasis), NOC +2% (B-21 funding confirmed), BAE +1.5% (UK spending aligned with NATO 2% pledge).
トリガー
Lockheed awarded $12B F-35 Lot 19 contract — largest single F-35 production award
リーダーの動き:
LMT +3.4%カスケード結果
RTX +4% (Pratt & Whitney engine work), NOC +3% (fuselage subcontract), BAE +2.5% (UK workshare). L3Harris +2% over the week.
現在の状況
アクティブなカスケードは検出されていません。次の潜在的トリガーはLMTの決算です。