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NVIDIA (NVDA) Kaskade Laba

8 langkah · 3 peristiwa historis

Alur Kaskade

1
NVDANVIDIA
Pemimpin
0 (trigger)

NVIDIA's data-center guidance is the single most important demand signal for AI chips, HBM memory, and advanced packaging.

2
000660.KSSK Hynix
Pengikut Pertama
0-1 trading days

SK Hynix is NVIDIA's primary HBM supplier; NVIDIA's demand outlook directly dictates SK Hynix HBM revenue expectations.

3
MUMicron
Pengikut Pertama
0-1 trading days

Micron's HBM3e ramp is gated by NVIDIA orders; strong NVIDIA guidance validates Micron's HBM revenue trajectory.

4
TSMTSMC
Rantai Tengah
1-2 trading days

TSMC fabricates all NVIDIA GPUs; higher NVIDIA volume means higher utilization of 3nm/5nm and CoWoS packaging capacity.

5
ASMLASML
Rantai Tengah
2-3 trading days

Sustained GPU demand growth implies TSMC needs more EUV capacity, supporting ASML's order backlog.

6
AMATApplied Materials
Pengikut Lambat
2-5 trading days

Equipment spend follows 1-2 quarters behind foundry utilization; NVIDIA strength signals future AMAT orders.

7
LRCXLam Research
Pengikut Lambat
2-5 trading days

Memory capex recovery (driven by HBM demand) flows to Lam's etch-heavy memory equipment business with a lag.

8
KLACKLA Corp
Pengikut Lambat
3-5 trading days

Process-control spending is the last equipment budget to move, but rising complexity at 3nm lifts KLA's content per wafer.

Kejadian Historis

2024-02-21

Pemicu

NVIDIA FY24 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue +409% YoY, guided Q1 to $24B vs $22B consensus

Pergerakan Pemimpin:

NVDA +16.4% on earnings day

Hasil Kaskade

SK Hynix +8% in 2 days, TSMC +5% in 3 days, ASML +4% over the week. SOX index +6% in 5 sessions.

2024-05-22

Pemicu

NVIDIA FY25 Q1 earnings: revenue $26B (+262% YoY), announced 10:1 stock split

Pergerakan Pemimpin:

NVDA +9.3% after hours

Hasil Kaskade

Micron +6% next day on HBM optimism. TSMC +3%. Equipment names (AMAT, LRCX) each +4% within the week.

2025-02-26

Pemicu

NVIDIA FY25 Q4 earnings: data-center revenue $35.6B, Blackwell ramp confirmed ahead of schedule

Pergerakan Pemimpin:

NVDA +4.2% (modest given elevated expectations)

Hasil Kaskade

SK Hynix +5%, Micron +3% on HBM3e validation. Equipment names lagged as capex timing questions persisted.

Status Saat Ini

Tidak ada kaskade aktif terdeteksi. Pemicu potensial berikutnya adalah laporan laba NVDA.

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ASML (ASML) Kaskade Laba

6 langkah · 2 peristiwa historis

Alur Kaskade

1
ASMLASML
Pemimpin
0 (trigger)

ASML's EUV order book is the earliest signal of foundry and memory fab investment plans 12-18 months forward.

2
AMATApplied Materials
Pengikut Pertama
0-1 trading days

ASML orders confirm capex cycle strength, directly implying demand for AMAT's complementary deposition and etch tools.

3
LRCXLam Research
Pengikut Pertama
0-1 trading days

Lam's etch business is tightly correlated with fab starts that ASML orders foreshadow.

4
KLACKLA Corp
Rantai Tengah
1-2 trading days

Rising wafer starts mean more inspection and metrology demand; KLA benefits from increased complexity at advanced nodes.

5
TSMTSMC
Rantai Tengah
1-3 trading days

TSMC is the largest EUV buyer; strong orders confirm TSMC's expansion plans are on track.

6
005930.KSSamsung Electronics
Pengikut Lambat
2-4 trading days

Samsung's foundry and memory capex plans are validated by overall industry equipment spending trends.

Kejadian Historis

2024-01-24

Pemicu

ASML Q4 2023 orders of EUR 9.2B crushed EUR 3.6B consensus — largest order quarter ever

Pergerakan Pemimpin:

ASML +9.7% on earnings day

Hasil Kaskade

AMAT +5%, LRCX +6%, KLAC +4% within 2 days. TSMC +3% as capex cycle confirmation spread through the sector.

2024-10-15

Pemicu

ASML Q3 2024 bookings disappointed at EUR 2.6B, well below expectations; China restrictions cited

Pergerakan Pemimpin:

ASML -15.6% (leaked a day early)

Hasil Kaskade

AMAT -5%, LRCX -6%, KLAC -4% same day. TSMC initially dipped -2% but recovered after its own strong earnings.

Status Saat Ini

Tidak ada kaskade aktif terdeteksi. Pemicu potensial berikutnya adalah laporan laba ASML.

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