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Lockheed Martin (LMT) Kaskade Laba
5 langkah · 3 peristiwa historis
Alur Kaskade
Lockheed's backlog and margin guidance signal overall DoD budget health and program execution across F-35, missiles, and space.
RTX's Raytheon segment competes and partners with LMT on missile defense; LMT strength implies robust munitions spending.
Northrop is a critical F-35 subcontractor and benefits from the same defense-budget tailwinds driving Lockheed's backlog.
BAE reacts to U.S. budget signals with a lag, as its UK/international exposure provides partial insulation.
L3Harris is a sub-tier supplier whose orders flow through prime-contractor procurement cycles with a multi-quarter lag.
Kejadian Historis
Pemicu
Lockheed Martin Q4 2023: backlog hit record $160.6B, 2024 guidance above consensus on strong F-35 and missile orders
Pergerakan Pemimpin:
LMT +4.8%Hasil Kaskade
RTX +3%, NOC +2.5% over 2 days. BAE Systems +2% in London. L3Harris +1.5% within the week as defense sentiment improved.
Pemicu
White House FY2025 defense budget request of $895B (+1% real growth), emphasis on Pacific deterrence and munitions
Pergerakan Pemimpin:
LMT +2.1% on budget dayHasil Kaskade
RTX +3.5% (munitions emphasis), NOC +2% (B-21 funding confirmed), BAE +1.5% (UK spending aligned with NATO 2% pledge).
Pemicu
Lockheed awarded $12B F-35 Lot 19 contract — largest single F-35 production award
Pergerakan Pemimpin:
LMT +3.4%Hasil Kaskade
RTX +4% (Pratt & Whitney engine work), NOC +3% (fuselage subcontract), BAE +2.5% (UK workshare). L3Harris +2% over the week.
Status Saat Ini
Tidak ada kaskade aktif terdeteksi. Pemicu potensial berikutnya adalah laporan laba LMT.